Sunday, 17 May 2009

A second by-election for Brighton and Hove?

Today's polls raise a tantalising possibility: a second by-election for Brighton and Hove.

According to the Sunday Express, the Green Party looks sets to double its six per cent of the vote at the last election to the European Parliament... A ComRes poll of European voting intentions, commissioned by UKIP, put the Tories on 28 per cent, Labour on 20 and the Lib Dems on 14. UKIP were on 15, the Greens on 11 and the fascist BNP on 4 per cent.

If our national average poll is 11 per cent then, taking those regions where we are likely to poll significantly less - Wales, Northern Ireland and Yorkshire and Humberside - into account, our vote share in South-East England could well rise over the magic 14 per cent, enough to return two MEPs in the region.

Because of the list system, that would mean St Peter's and North Laine councillor Keith Taylor would join Caroline Lucas in Brussels, meaning he would have to step down despite his popularity and excellent record in the ward - and leaving Brighton and Hove Council facing not one, but two by-elections.

1 comment:

  1. That poll puts us on 16% in the South East, 4% ahead of the LibDems

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